Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.267438 0.314908 0.371360 0.444311 0.537369 0.653903 0.813820
2025-02-02 0.201705 0.260679 0.340443 0.459924 0.641360 0.919522 1.407619
2025-02-09 0.163240 0.225165 0.317065 0.471219 0.741374 1.237808 2.352171
2025-02-16 0.139320 0.202011 0.302073 0.486299 0.852164 1.649658 3.971477
2025-02-23 0.121474 0.183152 0.287479 0.494966 0.954513 2.130031 6.632838
2025-03-02 0.107525 0.167337 0.273462 0.498844 1.048881 2.687300 11.125579
2025-03-09 0.095876 0.153096 0.258699 0.495779 1.125931 3.291155 18.610422
2025-03-16 0.085645 0.139593 0.242366 0.483899 1.174388 3.874098 30.457642
2025-03-23 0.079947 0.133431 0.239161 0.501605 1.322585 5.128749 68.329581
2025-03-30 0.072689 0.123236 0.225667 0.489590 1.369391 6.006357 131.172020
2025-04-06 0.068056 0.117498 0.220626 0.498402 1.499407 7.736771 391.778012
2025-04-13 0.062973 0.110205 0.210890 0.491446 1.566515 9.279860 1280.663680
2025-04-20 0.059557 0.105994 0.207715 0.503671 1.732962 12.494267 23159.871930
2025-04-27 0.056927 0.103109 0.207210 0.524486 1.966222 18.067963 NaN
2025-05-04 0.054194 0.099668 0.204777 0.538682 2.187773 25.848255 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051899 0.096897 0.203546 0.556928 2.462465 39.220942 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049481 0.093576 0.200347 0.567372 2.709904 58.631668 NaN
2025-05-25 0.047068 0.090004 0.195927 0.572039 2.932434 87.131335 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044586 0.086027 0.189824 0.568377 3.094596 124.671204 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041984 0.081532 0.181683 0.554166 3.156995 164.000669 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040725 0.080080 0.181887 0.575356 3.592764 340.878112 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038511 0.076146 0.174437 0.560973 3.656383 484.336506 NaN
2025-06-29 0.037171 0.074212 0.172580 0.571520 4.028175 1111.258109 NaN